“Are Controversies in Statistics Relevant for Responsible AI/ML? (My talk at an AI ethics conference) (ii)
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
4h ago
1. Introduction I gave a talk on March 8 at an AI, Systems, and Society Conference at the Emory Center for Ethics. The organizer, Alex Tolbert (who had been a student at Virginia Tech), suggested I speak about controversies in statistics, especially P-hacking in statistical significance testing. A question that arises led to my title ..read more
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Leisurely Cruise February 2025: power, shpower, positive predictive value
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
3w ago
The following is the February stop of our leisurely cruise (meeting 6 from my 2020 Seminar at the LSE). There was a guest speaker, Professor David Hand. Slides and videos are below. Ship StatInfasSt may head back to port or continue for an additional stop or two. Leisurely Cruise February 25: Power, shpower, severity, positive ..read more
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Part II: Return to Classical Epistemology: How Severity Escapes a Problem Associated with Sensitivity
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
1M ago
Last week I reblogged a post from 2023 where I began a discussion of a topic in a paper by Gardiner and Zaharatos (2022) (G & Z). G & Z fruitfully trace out connections between the severity requirement and the notion of sensitivity in epistemology. However, sensitivity in epistemology is thought to have a serious ..read more
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Return to Classical Epistemology: Sensitivity and Severity: Gardiner and Zaharatos (2022) (i)
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
1M ago
Picking up where I left off in a 2023 post, I will (finally!) return to Gardiner and Zaharos’s discussion of sensitivity in epistemology and its connection to my notion of severity. But before turning to Parts II (and III), I’d better reblog Part I. Here it is: I’ve been reading an illuminating paper by Georgi ..read more
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Leisurely cruise January 2025 (2nd stop): Excerpt from Excursion 4 Tour II: 4.4 “Do P-Values Exaggerate the Evidence?”
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
1M ago
Our second stop in 2025 on the leisurely tour of SIST is Excursion 4 Tour II which you can read here. This criticism of statistical significance tests continues to be controversial, but it shouldn’t be. One should not suppose that quantities measuring different things ought to be equal. At the bottom you will see links ..read more
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Leisurely Cruise January 2025: Excursion 4 Tour I: The Myth of “The Myth of Objectivity” (Mayo 2018, CUP)
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
2M ago
Our first stop in 2025 on the leisurely tour of SIST is Excursion 4 Tour I which you can read here. I hope that this will give you the chutzpah to push back in 2025, if you hear that objectivity in science is just a myth. This leisurely tour may be a bit more leisurely ..read more
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Midnight With Birnbaum: Happy New Year 2025!
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
2M ago
Remember that old Woody Allen movie, “Midnight in Paris,” where the main character (I forget who plays it, I saw it on a plane), a writer finishing a novel, steps into a cab that mysteriously picks him up at midnight and transports him back in time where he gets to run his work by such ..read more
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In case you want to binge read the (Strong) Likelihood Principle in 2025
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
2M ago
I took a side trip to David Cox’s famous “weighing machine” example” a month ago, an example thought to have caused “a subtle earthquake” in foundations of statistics, because  knew we’d be coming back to it at the end of December when we revisit the (strong) Likelihood Principle [SLP]. It’s been a decade since I ..read more
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[3] December Leisurely Tour Meeting 3: SIST Excursion 3 Tour III
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
3M ago
We are now at stop 3 on our December leisurely cruise through SIST: Excursion 3 Tour III. I am pasting the slides and video from this session during the LSE Research Seminars in 2020 (from which this cruise derives). (Remember it was early pandemic, and we weren’t so adept with zooming.)  The Higgs discussion clarifies ..read more
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December leisurely cruise “It’s the Methods, Stupid!” Excursion 3 Tour II (3.4-3.6)
Error Statistics Philosophy
by Mayo
3M ago
Welcome to the December leisurely cruise: Wherever we are sailing, assume that it’s warm. This is an overview of our first set of readings for December from my Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to get beyond the statistics wars (CUP 2018): [SIST]–Excursion 3 Tour II–(although I already snuck in one of the examples from ..read more
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