PHIL 6014 (crn: 20919): Spring 2023  Philosophy of Inductive-Statistical Inference (This is an IN-PERSON class*)Wed 4:00-6:30 pm, McBryde 22 *There may be opportunities for zooming half-way through the semester. Syllabus: First Installment D. Mayo (2018) Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (CUP, 2018): SIST Several articles will be provided. Date Themes/readings 1. 1/18       Introduction to the Course: How to tell what’s true about statistical inference Reading: SIST: Preface, Excursion 1 Tour I 1.1-1.3, 9-29 MISC: NOT ..read more

Ship StatInfasst (Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: SIST) will set sail on Wednesday January 18 when I begin a weekly seminar on the Philosophy of Inductive-statistical inference. I’m planning to write a new edition and/or companion to SIST (Mayo 2018, CUP), so it will be good to retrace the journey. I’m not requiring a statistics or philosophy background. All materials will be on this blog, and around halfway through there may be an opportunity to zoom, if there’s interest.   ..read more

. For the last three years, unlike the previous 10 years that I’ve been blogging, it was not feasible to actually revisit that spot in the road, looking to get into a strange-looking taxi, to head to “Midnight With Birnbaum”.  But this year I will, and I’m about to leave at 10pm. (The pic on the left is the only blurry image I have of the club I’m taken to.) My book Statistical Inference as Severe Testing: How to Get Beyond the Statistics Wars (CUP, 2018)  doesn’t include the argument from my article in Statistical Science (“On the Birnbaum Argument for the Strong Likelihood Princi ..read more

Below are the videos and slides from the 7 talks from Session 3 and Session 4 of our workshop The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties held on December 1 & 8, 2022. Session 3 speakers were: Daniele Fanelli (London School of Economics and Political Science), Stephan Guttinger (University of Exeter), and David Hand (Imperial College London).  Session 4 speakers were: Jon Williamson (University of Kent),  Margherita Harris  (London School of Economics and Political Science), Aris Spanos (Virginia Tech), and  ..read more

. Below are slides from 4 of the talks given in our Philosophy of Science Association (PSA) session from last month: the PSA 22 Symposium: Multiplicity, Data-Dredging, and Error Control. It was held in Pittsburgh on November 13, 2022. I will write some reflections in the “comments” to this post. I invite your constructive comments there as well. SYMPOSIUM ABSTRACT: High powered methods, the big data revolution, and the crisis of replication in medicine and social sciences have prompted new reflections and debates in both statistics and philosophy about the role of traditional statistical met ..read more

Thursday, December 8 will be the Final Session (Session 4) of my workshop, The Statistics Wars and Their Casualties. There will be 4 new speakers. It’s not too late to register: registration form ..read more

It’s not too late to register for Sessions #3 and #4 of our online Workshop. There will be 7 new (live) speakers and, for the the first time ever, the (short) movie; “The Recap of recaps” will be shown at the start of session #3. registration form ..read more

  . Stephen SennConsultant Statistician Edinburgh, Scotland A Diet of Terms A large university is interested in investigating the effects on the students of the diet provided in the university dining halls and any sex difference in these effects. Various types of data are gathered. In particular, the weight of each student at the time of his arrival in September and their weight the following June are recorded.(P304) This is how Frederic Lord (1912-2000) introduced the paradox (1) that now bears his name. It is justly famous (or notorious). However, the addition of sex as a factor ..read more

The Statistics Warsand Their Casualties 22-23 September 2022 15:00-18:00 pm London Time*ONLINE(London School of Economics, CPNSS) To register for the  workshop, please fill out the registration form here. For schedules and updated details, please see the workshop webpage: phil-stat-wars.com. *These will be sessions 1 & 2, there will be two more online sessions (3 & 4) on December 1 & 8. While the field of statistics has a long history of passionate foundational controversy, the last decade has, in many ways, been the most dramatic. Misuses of statistics, biasing selecti ..read more

. Some claim that no one attends Sunday morning (9am) sessions at the Philosophy of Science Association. But if you’re attending the PSA (in Pittsburgh), we hope you’ll falsify this supposition and come to hear us (Mayo, Thornton, Glymour, Mayo-Wilson, Berger) wrestle with some rival views on the trenchant problems of multiplicity, data-dredging, and error control. Coffee and donuts to all who show up. Multiplicity, Data-Dredging, and Error ControlNovember 13, 9:00 – 11:45 AM (link to symposium on PSA website) Speakers: Deborah Mayo (Virginia Tech)Suzanne Thornton (Swarthmore College) Clark ..read more