Nationals Arm Race
62 FOLLOWERS
Having an unhealthy obsession with the Nationals, Todd Boss hopes this as a pitching-focused blog that talks about the current Nats MLB rotation, the 40-man spot holders, and prospects. He writes about pitching, the Nats major league team, throw in some observations and some advanced stats.
Nationals Arm Race
1w ago
Mitchell Parker made his MLB debut in rather daunting conditions and came out with the win. Photo via Washington Post
Nats prospect Mitchell Parker got the call to come up and replace starts for the injured Josiah Grey, ahead of Joan Adon and Jackson Rutledge, who are both higher on the pecking order but each of whom had issues preventing them from getting the call. Adon hasn’t been back down long enough since his 4/10/24 option (though I think an option can be cancelled with no notice in case of an injury), and Rutledge took a come-backer off the ankle, leaving him a bit day-to-day. So Parker ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
2w ago
One random little artifact I maintain for some reason is a collection of our Opening Day and Home Opener data. Now that we’re past both, here’s that information for review.
Home Opener Attendances through the years
2024: 40,405 (4:05 tues game, 53, cloudy, slight wind)
2023: 35,756 (105 thurs game, 45 degrees and sunny)
2022: 35,052 (7:05 thurs game (pushed back from 4:05, then delayed to 8:21 weather. 52 degrees, cloudy, rainy)
2021: 4,801 (4:05 tuesday game, 74 degrees, partly cloudy, 5mph wind)
2020: 0 (7:09 thurs game, 90, partly cloudy, 7mph wind)
2019: 42,263 (1:07 thurs game, 56, partl ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
3w ago
Grey gets the opening day nod for the Nats in 2024. Photo via WP
I have somewhat of an obsession with Opening Day Starters, and have tracked them on a spreadsheet for, well, for a long time. 20 plus years. I also love Opening Day Starter Trivia, which we’ll cover here in a moment.
Now that the 2024 Opening Day is past us, and I’ve updated the XLS for this year’s starters and done some housecleaning of now-retired starters, here’s some useless Opening day starter trivia for you.
My Opening Day Starter XLS is uploaded here to Google Sheets. It is also worth noting that Baseball Reference of cour ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
1M ago
Derek Law was with us so briefly i couldn’t find a picture of him in a nats uniform. Photo via mlbtraderumors.com
In an annual tradition that, unfortunately for the likely record of the team, seems to be pretty popular with the current incarnation of the Nationals, as we approach the end of spring training its time to start naming Non Roster Invitees (NRIs) to the 40-man/26-man active roster because they’ve made the team. This post continues the tradition of looking at the NRIs the team had this year and talking about how they fared.
Here’s past posts on the same topic by year: 2023, 2022, 202 ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
1M ago
Super agent Scott Boras seems to have over-played his hand with his stable of FAs this off-season, leaving them with shorter deals, less guaranteed money, and far too little spring training to get ready. Photo via LA Times.
If you had March 18th for a two-time Cy Young award-winning free agent to sign, then you won the Scott Boras 2024 off-season bingo game. Blake Snell, who had this stat line last year as a 30yr old: 14-9, 2.25 ERA, 1.189 whip, 234/99 K/BB in 180 innings/32 starts, finally signed just a couple weeks before the season starts, virtually guaranteeing that he misses time for his ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
1M ago
Thaddeus Ward should get stretched out in Rochester this year. Mandatory Credit: Kim Klement-USA TODAY Sports
On March 11th, all on the same day, the Nats optioned the following arms to AAA:
Cole Henry
Mitchell Parker
DJ Herz
Thaddeus Ward
Joan Adon
If this was a Jeopardy answer, the question would be, “What is, the Rochester 2024 opening day rotation for $100, Alex?”
(Note: Adon’s option confirmed his previously unknown “4th option,” given for reasons unknown. Maybe its because he was so young when added. He doesn’t seem to have missed enough time in any season since he got added in Nob 202 ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
1M ago
Wood has been tearing up spring training; could he actually make the team? Photo via milb.com
The last of the major pundits (that i’m waiting for, ahem Fangraphs) has dropped their Nats prospect rankings for the new season. Here’s a review of the MLBPipeline Nats top 30, done by MLB’s scouting pundits Jim Callis, Jonathan Mayo, and Sam Dykstra.
Here’s a list of all the ranking lists i’m aware of and/or have reviewed this spring so far, in order of their release (and if I reviewed them, a link to that recap):
Baseball America top 10 preliminary list for 2024 11/6/23 (NAR recap)
Prospects361/Ri ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
2M ago
Kieboom faces a critical spring. Photo via Federal Baseball
Honestly, this option status was more apropos when we talked about non-tenders last fall, or perhaps before thinking about what the team was going to do this off-season w/r/t free agency.
But, here we are. We’re at the beginning of spring training, the team has brought in a slew of players on one year or MLFA/NRI deals (including at least 10 MLFA veteran relievers) and for those on the 40-man right now, options flexibility will be a big factor in what happens this spring.
So, lets do some options analysis to try to couch possible rost ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
2M ago
Everyone loves Lile. photo via Masn
I’m a big Keith Law fan, always have been. But sometimes he zigs when others zag, and I feel like this year’s Nats list is in that category. HIs methodology is not quite as big a focus on the “ceiling” of a prospect, but it creeps in. He really discounts DSL Guys until they show up domestically, and if someone’s ceiling is middle infielder/4th outfielder/middle reliever … they’re not a prospect in his eyes.
Law is the 2nd to last “major pundit” to drop his list. Once the MLBpipeline guys (Callis & Mayo et al) drop their updated ranks, I’ll post my list a ..read more
Nationals Arm Race
2M ago
Cade Cavalli is inexplicably left off the McDaniel list. Photo via Lookout Landing blog
I’ve buried the lede for this analysis in the title, but there’s no other way to say it. Kiley McDaniel has always been more focused on ceiling than floor in his prospect ranks, and that comes out pretty true in his list of 20-some odd Nats prospects for 2024.
We’re still waiting for two other major pundits to drop (MLBPipeline and Fangraphs) and a couple of lesser known ones (Bleacher Report if they do it, Prospects Live, and Prospect Digest) before I reveal my top 50. Also, BA added another 10 to their to ..read more