Observing the Whirlwind
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
I have a new article up at The New Republic. (There’s a problem with this link, which should be fixed shortly, however.) Here are a few additional thoughts. In the midst of a tornado, one sees only the debris whirling in the funnel. The devastation becomes visible only after the storm has passed. This post will be filled with debris. First, the roof blew off Les Républicains. The party leader, Eric Ciotti, announced his intention to sign an electoral pact with the RN. To my surprise, he was immediately repudiated by every other prominent Republican, including Laurent Wauquiez, who had been Ci ..read more
Visit website
Chronicle of a Death Foretold
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
The result was no surprise. The response was. But it shouldn’t have been. The polls had predicted a landslide victory for Jordan Bardella and the Rassemblement National for months, and they proved remarkably accurate. The Macroniste list led by Valérie Hayer scored fewer than half as many points and finished almost even with Raphael Glucksmann’s Place Publique (a respectable showing for this latest attempt to rally the left). The rump of the center-right polled a dismal 7.2% behind François Bellamy, falling short of the La France Insoumise ticket led by Manon Aubry (9.8%, somewhat better than ..read more
Visit website
Poll Position
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
Tony Barber of the Financial Times has kindly cited one of my posts here. Barber includes a recent poll of présidentiables ranked by favorability, which alarmingly places Le Pen and Bardella first and second, respectively. What’s more interesting, however, is to look at the candidates by acceptability rather than enthusiasm. The poll asks respondents to classify candidates according to how satisfied or dissatisfied they would be if a particular candidate were elected president. Possible answers are very satisfied, somewhat satisfied, neither satisfied nor dissatisfied, somewhat ..read more
Visit website
Le Bal des Prétendants
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
Yes, I know, the next presidential election is still eons away, but le bal des prétendants was already well under way when the orchestra struck several false notes. First, it was revealed that in the wake of the Covid and energy crises, which the government chose to ameliorate by spending freely, the budget deficit had risen to 5.5%. Then Édouard Philippe was hit with a search warrant, alleging that he was part of a scheme to … well, suffice it to say that the details are too tedious to recount, and of course everyone is presumed innocent until the fat lady sings (remind François Fi ..read more
Visit website
Gaullist No More
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
Last week President Macron surprised everyone by suggesting that some European countries might send troops to Ukraine if necessary to prevent a Russian victory. Perhaps that’s putting what he said too strongly: one might rephrase his remarks to mean that he didn’t rule out the possibility. But was this simply a standard “all options remain on the table” comment or something more? Clearly, European allies took it to mean something more. And so did Vladimir Putin, who promptly pushed back by rattling the nuclear saber once again. But perhaps there’s less here than meets the eye. Until now, Macr ..read more
Visit website
Symbolic Politics
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
Emmanuel Macron is putting the resistance fighter Missak Manouchian in the Pantheon but has disinvited the Rassemblement National from the ceremony. The RN intends to make its presence felt anyway “despite the president’s insulting words.” This despite Macron’s effort to soften the blow by allowing that the RN is not “overtly antisemitic and negationist as [its predecessor] the Front National was.” A deft pirouette by Macron, who had previously contradicted his prime minister Gabriel Attal for including the RN in “the republican arc.” Macron would prefer it remain outside the republican arc b ..read more
Visit website
The State of the European Union, Part 5: La Politique Politicienne
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
5. Politics In a broad survey piece like this, I can’t cover party politics across Europe in any detail. Even summarizing political developments in the countries I follow closely is impossible. Nevertheless, I will venture a few brief remarks, mostly about France, the country I know best. When I wrote my 2017 chronicle, prior to that year’s presidential election, Macron’s analysis of France’s political dilemma, self-serving though it was, seemed to me not altogether implausible. Because the two dominant parties of that time, the Socialists (PS) and the Republicans (LR), had both moved toward ..read more
Visit website
The State of the European Union, Part 4: The Environment
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
This is the fourth part of a series of posts on the state of the European Union. 4. The Environment Environmental concerns have transformed politics in Europe more profoundly than anywhere else. Climate denialism is far less influential in Europe than in the United States, and most major parties have incorporated green planks into their platforms. There is genuine commitment to the idea that reform is essential, at least in the long run. But there are also signs of resistance owing to the distributive consequences of environmental reform. The Gilets Jaunes uprising in France was precipitated ..read more
Visit website
State of the European Union, Part 3: The Economy
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
3. Economy For most of its history, economic issues have dominated the politics of the European Union at both the national level and the European level. Unfortunately, those two debates–national and European–often seemed to take place in different universes. In Brussels and Frankfurt, among technocrats, the discussion often sounded like a bloodless seminar in economics, while political leaders enthused about the anticipated benefits of the positive-sum outcome that would result from freer trade, more open borders, and rule-based cooperation. More raucous and contentious exchanges about the di ..read more
Visit website
The State of the European Union, Part I
Art Goldhammer
by Arthur Goldhammer
3d ago
Having been charged by The Tocqueville Review with the task of contributing a reflection on the state of the European Union as a prelude to the European parliamentary elections, I thought I’d avail myself of this blog to offer a preview of my thoughts. Although I normally limit myself in this venue to remarks on French politics, I think it’s important to see France in the context of Europe, and the EU is always in the background of what I write, even though I generally comment on France’s internal tussles. Attempting to peer into the future is inherently a risky business, but on looking back ..read more
Visit website

Follow Art Goldhammer on FeedSpot

Continue with Google
Continue with Apple
OR